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Why knowing the future doesn’t always help predict markets | The Economist


What if you could read tomorrow’s headlines before everyone else? Would you beat the market? Joshua Roberts, The Economist’s capital markets correspondent , and Rosie Blau, co-host of The Intelligence podcast, discuss what a trading experiment reveals about markets, why knowing the news is not enough to predict them and why the hardest decision in trading isn’t what to buy, but how much to bet.

00:41 – Why future news doesn’t guarantee market success
03:15 – Why are people so bad at investing even with perfect information?
05:06 – Why does AI struggle to beat the market too?
05:43 – What do professional traders do differently?
06:50 – What’s the biggest lesson for every investor?

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