Somebody has to lend the AI boom the money.
Kenny Polcari asks where rates are going and gets the question reframed. Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist at the New York Stock Exchange, argues the speed matters more than the level, and points to a market repricing hard on a second-tier data release. Justin Bergner, CFA, Portfolio Manager of the Gabelli Dividend Growth Fund, puts the danger zone somewhere above 5% and explains what a rising rate cycle does to companies that are only yield plays. Then Reinking explains why the index looks calmer than the market underneath it actually is.
Timestamps:
00:00 Who is actually trading now
00:49 The case that retail has become the price setter
01:47 What dividend growth is, and what it is not
02:59 Do the big technology names even pay a dividend
03:35 Why the aristocrats are a narrower group than people think
04:52 Where a value-tilted portfolio actually sits
05:45 What spiking yields do to a dividend strategy
06:59 How much of the index is one sector
07:05 Why the AI factor turns up in every sector
07:47 What is really pushing yields up
08:47 The pull of a guaranteed yield
09:14 Is energy a defensive hedge now
10:18 Oil, the conflict, and why it is not going back
11:05 Where rates go from here
11:39 Is this the danger zone
12:20 The deficit problem nobody wants to solve
13:04 Why the pace matters more than the level
14:05 Where institutional money is moving
15:07 What AI might do to drug development
17:18 Does the market care about the midterms
18:14 The seasonality nobody should trade on alone
19:14 What you miss by getting out
20:14 Why the index looks calmer than the market is
20:49 The year-end view
Featuring:
Kenny Polcari, Host, Trader Talk, Yahoo Finance
Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist, New York Stock Exchange
Justin Bergner, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Gabelli Dividend Growth Fund, Gabelli Funds
Kenny Polcari gives it to you straight. New episodes Wednesdays at 5pm ET.
#TraderTalk #YahooFinance #Rates #Volatility #Investing #StockMarket
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