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How Low Can Interest Rates Go? The Fed’s Balancing Act in an Unusual Economy


#Morningstar  #FedMeeting #JeromePowell

Plus, the risks that could force the Fed to shift its focus from a softening job market back to sticky inflation.

00:00 Introduction

00:30 Role of the Fed in the Job Market

02:56 What to Know from the Fed’s Dot Point Projections

05:01 Risks in the Fed’s Fight Against Inflation

A change in priorities prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025. Fed Chair Jerome Powell says a softening job market is carrying more risk than stubborn inflation. The Fed trimmed a quarter percentage point as expected and signaled more cuts are on their way. Joining me to discuss these developments is Preston Caldwell. He is a senior US economist for Morningstar Investment Management.

Read more about Preston’s outlook for the Fed:

Fed Cuts Rates and Signals More to Come in 2025 https://www.morningstar.com/economy/fed-cuts-rates-signals-more-come-2025

What to watch from Morningstar.

The Biggest Risk Investors Face Today https://youtu.be/HbLP2v-TD8c?si=NbOLBqbwuvkfCYQg

Where Should Investors Look Next Among Economic Mixed Messages? https://youtu.be/M_1B9HV6va0?si=Dvc78my1E2JuxYbO

Market Volatility: Investors Are Seeking Safety in Gold ETFs. Is It Working? https://youtu.be/g5p0Ds-YUbk?si=Vyf7qC0pmL49gYqm

Cautious Consumers Pull Back as Tariff-Driven Inflation Risks Rise https://youtu.be/sJWYIC6Hs5c?si=NHWajd9aZ4B-Dotx

Read what our team is writing.

Preston Caldwell https://www.morningstar.com/people/preston-caldwell

Ivanna Hampton https://www.morningstar.com/people/ivanna-hampton

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